Los Angeles Kings at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2026-03-16 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 1 - 4 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

NYR: 47.2%

LAK: 52.8%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.26

LAK: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • NYR at home vs LAK: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-16	NYR 1 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2026-01-20	LAK 4 - 3 NYR	LAK	LAK
2025-03-25	LAK 3 - 1 NYR	LAK	LAK
2024-12-14	NYR 1 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK
2024-01-20	LAK 2 - 1 NYR	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	12	0	0.92
1	LAK	9	0	0.54
2	NYR	7	0	0.20
2	LAK	24	1	2.11
3	NYR	19	0	0.77
3	LAK	6	1	0.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 1 - 4 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2