New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2026-03-17 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders @ 7:00 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 51.5%
NYI: 48.5%
Expected Goals
TOR: 1.83
NYI: 2.02
Total Goals
Median: 3.6
Over 5.5: 21%
Over 6.5: 13%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Joseph Woll - 13-7-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.92 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | TOR | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.914 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.910 | 0.930 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.840 | — |
| GAA | 2.74 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 57% • TOR at home vs NYI: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | NYI 4 - 3 TOR | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-01-02 | NYI 1 - 2 TOR | TOR | NYI |
| 2024-12-31 | TOR 3 - 1 NYI | TOR | TOR |
| 2024-12-21 | TOR 3 - 6 NYI | NYI | TOR |
| 2024-02-05 | TOR 2 - 3 NYI | NYI | TOR |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-03-17 at 7:00 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.