Boston Bruins at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2026-03-17 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 3 - 2 Boston Bruins (OT)

Win Probability

MTL: 65.2%

BOS: 34.8%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.46

BOS: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 52%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • MTL at home vs BOS: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-17	MTL 3 - 2 BOS	MTL	MTL
2026-01-24	BOS 4 - 3 MTL	BOS	BOS
2025-12-23	BOS 2 - 6 MTL	MTL	BOS
2025-11-15	MTL 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	MTL
2025-04-03	MTL 4 - 1 BOS	MTL	MTL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	21	2	1.22
1	BOS	17	4	2.10
2	MTL	17	2	1.52
2	BOS	13	1	0.55
3	MTL	16	1	0.80
3	BOS	9	1	0.90
4	MTL	5	1	0.78
4	BOS	1	0	0.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 3 - 2 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.5 - 2.9