Carolina Hurricanes at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2026-03-17 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CBJ: 42.9%

CAR: 57.1%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.00

CAR: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

CAR

Brandon Bussi - 13-2-1 | 0.901 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Stat	CBJ	CAR
Season SV%	0.909	0.901
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.62	2.33

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Jet Greaves	28	27	1	96.4%	2.32	0	1.32
CAR	Brandon Bussi	30	25	5	83.3%	2.84	1	-2.16

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CBJ at home vs CAR: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	CAR 5 - 1 CBJ	CAR	CAR
2026-03-31	CBJ 2 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-03-17	CBJ 5 - 1 CAR	CBJ	CAR
2025-12-09	CAR 4 - 1 CBJ	CAR	CAR
2025-01-23	CAR 7 - 4 CBJ	CAR	CAR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	15	1	1.21
1	CAR	11	0	0.57
2	CBJ	12	0	0.84
2	CAR	15	0	0.77
3	CBJ	15	0	0.79
3	CAR	13	0	0.98

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown