Nashville Predators at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2026-03-17 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Nashville Predators (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 52.7%

NSH: 47.3%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.14

NSH: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • WPG at home vs NSH: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-17	WPG 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	WPG
2025-11-29	NSH 2 - 5 WPG	WPG	NSH
2025-10-18	WPG 4 - 1 NSH	WPG	WPG
2025-02-27	NSH 2 - 1 WPG	NSH	NSH
2025-01-07	WPG 5 - 2 NSH	WPG	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	15	0	1.01
1	NSH	9	1	0.84
2	WPG	20	2	1.75
2	NSH	12	0	0.58
3	WPG	15	0	1.09
3	NSH	10	0	0.35
4	WPG	7	0	0.41
4	NSH	6	0	0.48
5	WPG	3	0	0.17
5	NSH	2	1	1.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0