Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2026-03-17 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 4 Minnesota Wild (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CHI: 47.9%

MIN: 52.1%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.06

MIN: 3.49

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Stat	CHI	MIN
Season SV%	0.909	0.912
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.63	2.47

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Spencer Knight	37	33	4	89.2%	3.27	3	-0.73
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	26	23	3	88.5%	2.96	3	-0.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • CHI at home vs MIN: 1-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	MIN 1 - 2 CHI	CHI	MIN
2026-03-17	CHI 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN
2026-01-27	MIN 4 - 3 CHI	MIN	MIN
2025-11-26	CHI 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-01-26	CHI 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	11	0	0.63
1	MIN	20	3	1.76
2	CHI	18	2	1.52
2	MIN	12	0	0.53
3	CHI	12	1	0.76
3	MIN	10	0	0.27
4	CHI	1	0	0.05
4	MIN	6	0	0.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 4 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.1 - 3.5