Florida Panthers at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2026-03-17 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 5 - 2 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 47.7%

FLA: 52.3%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.94

FLA: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • VAN at home vs FLA: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-17	VAN 5 - 2 FLA	VAN	FLA
2025-11-17	FLA 8 - 5 VAN	FLA	FLA
2024-12-12	VAN 4 - 0 FLA	VAN	FLA
2024-10-17	FLA 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	FLA
2023-12-14	VAN 4 - 0 FLA	VAN	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	14	1	1.30
1	FLA	17	0	1.17
2	VAN	7	1	0.44
2	FLA	14	1	1.07
3	VAN	10	2	1.08
3	FLA	19	2	1.78

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 5 - 2 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1