Tampa Bay Lightning at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2026-03-17 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 2 - 6 Tampa Bay Lightning

Win Probability

SEA: 42.9%

TBL: 57.1%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.84

TBL: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SEA at home vs TBL: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-26	TBL 3 - 4 SEA	SEA	TBL
2026-03-17	SEA 2 - 6 TBL	TBL	TBL
2025-02-23	TBL 4 - 1 SEA	TBL	TBL
2024-12-14	SEA 1 - 5 TBL	TBL	TBL
2023-12-09	SEA 3 - 4 TBL	TBL	TBL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	6	0	0.38
1	TBL	12	0	0.84
2	SEA	15	0	0.90
2	TBL	7	1	0.53
3	SEA	8	0	0.43
3	TBL	20	2	2.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 2 - 6 Tampa Bay Lightning

Expected: 2.8 - 3.2