Pittsburgh Penguins at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2026-03-18 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 5 Pittsburgh Penguins (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 57.9%
PIT: 42.1%
Expected Goals
CAR: 2.35
PIT: 2.77
Total Goals
Median: 3.7
Over 5.5: 29%
Over 6.5: 18%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | CAR | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.886 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.898 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • CAR at home vs PIT: 6-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | PIT 1 - 5 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-03-18 | CAR 6 - 5 PIT | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-03-10 | CAR 5 - 4 PIT | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-12-30 | PIT 5 - 1 CAR | PIT | CAR |
| 2025-01-05 | CAR 4 - 3 PIT | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:34 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 09:57 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 16:51 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 00:59 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 03:27 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 07:16 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 12:59 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 14:46 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 15:09 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 17:09 | CAR | Goal |
| 4 | 04:31 | CAR | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 5.1
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 5 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 2.4 - 2.8
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