Pittsburgh Penguins at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2026-03-18 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 5 Pittsburgh Penguins (OT)

Win Probability

CAR: 53.3%

PIT: 46.7%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.01

PIT: 3.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • CAR at home vs PIT: 6-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	PIT 1 - 5 CAR	CAR	PIT
2026-03-18	CAR 6 - 5 PIT	CAR	CAR
2026-03-10	CAR 5 - 4 PIT	CAR	CAR
2025-12-30	PIT 5 - 1 CAR	PIT	PIT
2025-01-05	CAR 4 - 3 PIT	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	25	1	1.68
1	PIT	14	2	1.35
2	CAR	19	1	1.54
2	PIT	9	0	0.62
3	CAR	20	1	1.44
3	PIT	16	2	1.34
4	CAR	1	0	0.08
4	PIT	3	0	0.39

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 8.0

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 5 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 4.0 - 4.0