St. Louis Blues at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2026-03-18 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 2 - 1 St. Louis Blues (SO)

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

CGY: 47.3%

STL: 52.7%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.14

STL: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • CGY at home vs STL: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-18	CGY 2 - 1 STL	CGY	STL
2025-11-11	STL 3 - 2 CGY	STL	STL
2025-10-11	CGY 2 - 4 STL	STL	STL
2025-01-16	STL 4 - 1 CGY	STL	CGY
2025-01-14	STL 2 - 1 CGY	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	15	0	1.06
1	STL	11	0	0.76
2	CGY	10	1	0.73
2	STL	11	0	0.57
3	CGY	8	0	0.10
3	STL	15	0	0.91

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 2 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3