St. Louis Blues at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2026-03-18 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 2 - 1 St. Louis Blues (SO)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 57.6%
STL: 42.4%
Expected Goals
CGY: 3.08
STL: 2.60
Total Goals
Median: 4.8
Over 5.5: 38%
Over 6.5: 28%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
| Stat | CGY | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.917 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.881 | 0.950 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.87 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • CGY at home vs STL: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | CGY 2 - 1 STL | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-11-11 | STL 3 - 2 CGY | STL | STL |
| 2025-10-11 | CGY 2 - 4 STL | STL | CGY |
| 2025-01-16 | STL 4 - 1 CGY | STL | STL |
| 2025-01-14 | STL 2 - 1 CGY | STL | STL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:34 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 03:47 | CGY | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | CGY | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | CGY | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 2 - 1 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.1 - 2.6
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