Philadelphia Flyers at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2026-03-18 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 52.6%

PHI: 47.4%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.48

PHI: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs PHI: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-18	ANA 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	ANA
2026-01-06	PHI 5 - 2 ANA	PHI	PHI
2025-01-11	PHI 6 - 0 ANA	PHI	PHI
2024-12-28	ANA 1 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI
2023-11-10	ANA 3 - 6 PHI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	14	0	0.63
1	PHI	25	2	2.05
2	ANA	21	2	1.56
2	PHI	14	2	1.67
3	ANA	4	0	0.10
3	PHI	4	0	0.34

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.5 - 3.2