New York Islanders at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2026-03-19 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 3 - 2 New York Islanders
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 71.8%
NYI: 28.2%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.95
NYI: 2.33
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
| Stat | OTT | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.921 | 0.851 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.891 | 0.878 |
| GAA | 2.95 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • OTT at home vs NYI: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | NYI 0 - 3 OTT | OTT | OTT |
| 2026-03-19 | OTT 3 - 2 NYI | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-10-18 | OTT 4 - 5 NYI | NYI | OTT |
| 2025-01-14 | NYI 0 - 2 OTT | OTT | NYI |
| 2024-12-08 | OTT 2 - 4 NYI | NYI | OTT |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 71.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 3 - 2 New York Islanders
Expected: 3.9 - 2.3
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