New York Rangers at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2026-03-19 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 6 - 3 New York Rangers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CBJ: 73.7%

NYR: 26.3%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.71

NYR: 2.75

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 48%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Stat	CBJ	NYR
Season SV%	0.909	0.910
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.62	2.51

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Jet Greaves	25	22	3	88.0%	2.28	2	-0.72
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	37	31	6	83.8%	4.34	4	-1.66

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 72% • CBJ at home vs NYR: 4-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	CBJ 6 - 3 NYR	CBJ	CBJ
2026-03-02	NYR 4 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-15	CBJ 1 - 2 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-03-15	CBJ 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-03-09	NYR 3 - 7 CBJ	CBJ	NYR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	18	3	1.87
1	NYR	10	0	0.60
2	CBJ	17	0	1.11
2	NYR	16	2	1.02
3	CBJ	13	1	1.36
3	NYR	10	0	0.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 73.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown