Chicago Blackhawks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2026-03-19 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 1 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 60.0%

CHI: 40.0%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.22

CHI: 2.79

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 72%

Over 6.5: 54%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • MIN at home vs CHI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	MIN 1 - 2 CHI	CHI	MIN
2026-03-17	CHI 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN
2026-01-27	MIN 4 - 3 CHI	MIN	MIN
2025-11-26	CHI 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-01-26	CHI 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	10	0	0.31
1	CHI	16	0	1.15
2	MIN	16	0	0.85
2	CHI	9	0	0.47
3	MIN	17	0	1.37
3	CHI	15	1	1.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 1 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.2 - 2.8