Utah Hockey Club at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2026-03-19 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 0 - 4 Utah Hockey Club
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 56.4%
UTA: 43.6%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.22
UTA: 2.78
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.896 SV% | 2.75 GAA
| Stat | VGK | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.881 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.975 | 0.947 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs UTA: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | VGK | ||
| 2026-05-01 | UTA 1 - 5 VGK | VGK | VGK |
| 2026-04-29 | VGK 5 - 4 UTA | VGK | VGK |
| 2026-04-27 | UTA 4 - 5 VGK | VGK | VGK |
| 2026-04-24 | UTA 4 - 2 VGK | UTA | UTA |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 0 - 4 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 3.2 - 2.8
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