Philadelphia Flyers at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2026-03-19 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (66% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 66.1%

PHI: 33.9%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.45

PHI: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • LAK at home vs PHI: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	LAK 3 - 4 PHI	PHI	LAK
2026-01-31	PHI 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	PHI
2024-12-29	LAK 5 - 4 PHI	LAK	LAK
2024-12-19	PHI 3 - 7 LAK	LAK	LAK
2023-11-11	LAK 2 - 4 PHI	PHI	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	11	0	0.64
1	PHI	5	0	0.31
2	LAK	16	1	1.06
2	PHI	15	1	1.00
3	LAK	15	0	0.54
3	PHI	10	0	0.83
4	LAK	2	0	0.12
4	PHI	2	0	0.22
5	LAK	2	0	0.13
5	PHI	2	2	1.57

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 66.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9