Florida Panthers at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2026-03-20 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 4 - 1 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

CGY: 57.6%

FLA: 42.4%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.29

FLA: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CGY at home vs FLA: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-20	CGY 4 - 1 FLA	CGY	CGY
2025-11-28	FLA 3 - 5 CGY	CGY	FLA
2025-03-01	FLA 3 - 0 CGY	FLA	FLA
2024-12-14	CGY 3 - 0 FLA	CGY	FLA
2024-03-09	FLA 5 - 1 CGY	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	15	0	0.94
1	FLA	10	0	0.42
2	CGY	13	0	0.76
2	FLA	16	0	0.97
3	CGY	18	3	1.85
3	FLA	14	0	0.48

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 4 - 1 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0