Winnipeg Jets at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2026-03-21 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 4 Winnipeg Jets (SO)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 68.8%
WPG: 31.2%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.55
WPG: 3.18
Total Goals
Median: 7.7
Over 5.5: 77%
Over 6.5: 64%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | PIT | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.886 | 0.867 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.905 | 0.875 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • PIT at home vs WPG: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | PIT 5 - 4 WPG | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-11-01 | WPG 5 - 2 PIT | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-11-22 | PIT 1 - 4 WPG | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-10-20 | WPG 6 - 3 PIT | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-02-10 | WPG 2 - 1 PIT | WPG | WPG |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 68.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 4 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.6 - 3.2
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