Vegas Golden Knights at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2026-03-21 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 4 - 1 Vegas Golden Knights
🚨 Upset Win (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 41.2%
VGK: 58.8%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.17
VGK: 2.67
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
Juuse Saros - 28-21-8 | 0.894 SV% | 3.13 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | NSH | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.897 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.884 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.853 |
| GAA | 2.93 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • NSH at home vs VGK: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | NSH 4 - 1 VGK | NSH | VGK |
| 2026-01-17 | VGK 7 - 2 NSH | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-12-31 | VGK 2 - 4 NSH | NSH | VGK |
| 2025-04-12 | VGK 5 - 3 NSH | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-03-29 | NSH 1 - 3 VGK | VGK | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:40 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 01:24 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 11:56 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 13:10 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 14:53 | NSH | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 4 - 1 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.2 - 2.7
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