Buffalo Sabres at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2026-03-21 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 1 - 4 Buffalo Sabres
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 57.1%
BUF: 42.9%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.25
BUF: 2.83
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 19-14-15 | 0.891 SV% | 2.78 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
| Stat | LAK | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.833 | 0.847 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.903 | 0.974 |
| GAA | 2.27 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • LAK at home vs BUF: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | LAK 1 - 4 BUF | BUF | LAK |
| 2026-01-29 | BUF 4 - 1 LAK | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-11-20 | LAK 0 - 1 BUF | BUF | LAK |
| 2024-10-10 | BUF 1 - 3 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-02-13 | BUF 7 - 0 LAK | BUF | BUF |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 1 - 4 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.3 - 2.8
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.