Buffalo Sabres at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2026-03-21 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 1 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 56.4%

BUF: 43.6%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.18

BUF: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • LAK at home vs BUF: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	LAK 1 - 4 BUF	BUF	LAK
2026-01-29	BUF 4 - 1 LAK	BUF	LAK
2024-11-20	LAK 0 - 1 BUF	BUF	LAK
2024-10-10	BUF 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	BUF
2024-02-13	BUF 7 - 0 LAK	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	13	0	0.64
1	BUF	17	1	0.96
2	LAK	17	0	0.82
2	BUF	8	1	0.35
3	LAK	7	0	0.56
3	BUF	18	2	2.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 1 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2