Philadelphia Flyers at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2026-03-21 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 1 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 53.0%
PHI: 47.0%
Expected Goals
SJS: 3.37
PHI: 2.98
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
| Stat | SJS | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.914 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.953 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SJS at home vs PHI: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | SJS 1 - 4 PHI | PHI | SJS |
| 2025-12-09 | PHI 4 - 1 SJS | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-12-31 | SJS 0 - 4 PHI | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-11-11 | PHI 4 - 3 SJS | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-03-12 | PHI 3 - 2 SJS | PHI | PHI |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 1 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.4 - 3.0
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.