Seattle Kraken at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2026-03-21 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 2 Seattle Kraken

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CBJ: 54.8%

SEA: 45.2%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.63

SEA: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Stat	CBJ	SEA
Season SV%	0.877	0.903
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	4.04	2.77

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	17	15	2	88.2%	2.23	1	0.23
SEA	Joey Daccord	28	23	5	82.1%	3.29	2	-1.71

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CBJ at home vs SEA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	CBJ 5 - 2 SEA	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-11	SEA 1 - 2 CBJ	CBJ	SEA
2025-01-09	CBJ 6 - 2 SEA	CBJ	CBJ
2024-11-12	SEA 5 - 2 CBJ	SEA	CBJ
2024-01-28	SEA 4 - 2 CBJ	SEA	SEA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	17	0	1.29
1	SEA	9	1	0.60
2	CBJ	13	0	0.95
2	SEA	13	0	1.24
3	CBJ	9	2	1.05
3	SEA	9	0	0.39

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown