St. Louis Blues at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2026-03-21 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 3 St. Louis Blues

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

VAN: 46.9%

STL: 53.1%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.89

STL: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Stat	VAN	STL
Season SV%	0.885	0.869
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.41	3.56

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	21	18	3	85.7%	4.64	4	1.64
STL	Jordan Binnington	15	14	1	93.3%	2.39	2	1.39

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VAN at home vs STL: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	VAN 1 - 3 STL	STL	STL
2025-10-30	STL 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	STL
2025-10-13	VAN 2 - 5 STL	STL	VAN
2025-03-20	STL 4 - 3 VAN	STL	STL
2025-01-27	STL 2 - 5 VAN	VAN	STL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	6	0	0.74
1	STL	13	0	0.80
2	VAN	6	1	0.71
2	STL	17	3	2.59
3	VAN	10	1	0.93
3	STL	6	1	1.26

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown