St. Louis Blues at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2026-03-21 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 3 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

VAN: 47.1%

STL: 52.9%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.95

STL: 3.39

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • VAN at home vs STL: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	VAN 1 - 3 STL	STL	STL
2025-10-30	STL 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	STL
2025-10-13	VAN 2 - 5 STL	STL	VAN
2025-03-20	STL 4 - 3 VAN	STL	STL
2025-01-27	STL 2 - 5 VAN	VAN	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	6	0	0.74
1	STL	13	0	0.80
2	VAN	6	1	0.71
2	STL	17	3	2.59
3	VAN	10	1	0.93
3	STL	6	1	1.26

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 3 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.0 - 3.4