Boston Bruins at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2026-03-21 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 4 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 53.7%

BOS: 46.3%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.06

BOS: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • DET at home vs BOS: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	DET 2 - 4 BOS	BOS	DET
2026-01-13	BOS 3 - 0 DET	BOS	BOS
2025-12-02	DET 5 - 4 BOS	DET	DET
2025-11-29	BOS 3 - 2 DET	BOS	BOS
2025-03-29	DET 2 - 1 BOS	DET	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	14	0	0.95
1	BOS	12	3	1.96
2	DET	15	0	1.19
2	BOS	17	1	1.12
3	DET	27	1	1.88
3	BOS	10	3	1.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 4 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0