Tampa Bay Lightning at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2026-03-21 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 8:00 PM MDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 60.0%
TBL: 40.0%
Expected Goals
EDM: 2.97
TBL: 3.17
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 28-7-3 | 0.920 SV% | 2.11 GAA
| Stat | EDM | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.841 | 0.921 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.925 | 0.960 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • EDM at home vs TBL: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-20 | TBL 2 - 1 EDM | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-02-25 | TBL 4 - 1 EDM | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-12-10 | EDM 2 - 1 TBL | EDM | EDM |
| 2023-12-14 | EDM 4 - 7 TBL | TBL | EDM |
| 2023-11-18 | TBL 6 - 4 EDM | TBL | TBL |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-03-21 at 8:00 PM MDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.