Winnipeg Jets at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2026-03-22 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 2 - 3 Winnipeg Jets (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 60.5%

WPG: 39.5%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.96

WPG: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • NYR at home vs WPG: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	NYR 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	NYR
2026-03-12	WPG 3 - 6 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-03-11	WPG 2 - 1 NYR	WPG	WPG
2024-11-12	NYR 3 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-03-19	NYR 2 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	9	0	0.12
1	WPG	13	0	0.78
2	NYR	23	2	1.51
2	WPG	22	3	1.77
3	NYR	10	0	0.46
3	WPG	18	1	0.93
4	NYR	7	0	0.42
4	WPG	1	0	0.06
5	NYR	2	0	0.08
5	WPG	2	2	1.59

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 2 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2