Colorado Avalanche at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2026-03-22 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 2 - 3 Colorado Avalanche (OT)

Win Probability

WSH: 39.3%

COL: 60.7%

Expected Goals

WSH: 2.63

COL: 3.26

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • WSH at home vs COL: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	WSH 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-01-19	COL 5 - 2 WSH	COL	COL
2024-11-21	WSH 1 - 2 COL	COL	COL
2024-11-15	COL 2 - 5 WSH	WSH	COL
2024-02-13	WSH 3 - 6 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	12	0	1.07
1	COL	10	1	0.71
2	WSH	10	1	0.63
2	COL	13	0	0.67
3	WSH	13	0	1.10
3	COL	11	0	0.59
4	WSH	0	0	0.00
4	COL	4	0	0.36

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 2 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.6 - 3.3