Nashville Predators at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2026-03-22 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 3 Nashville Predators (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CHI: 52.4%

NSH: 47.6%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.10

NSH: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Stat	CHI	NSH
Season SV%	0.909	0.897
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.63	2.93

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Spencer Knight	33	30	3	90.9%	4.14	4	1.14
NSH	Juuse Saros	28	26	2	92.9%	3.19	1	1.19

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • CHI at home vs NSH: 1-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	CHI 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	CHI
2026-02-26	NSH 4 - 2 CHI	NSH	NSH
2026-01-10	NSH 0 - 3 CHI	CHI	NSH
2025-11-28	CHI 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	NSH
2025-03-08	NSH 3 - 2 CHI	NSH	NSH

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	15	0	0.96
1	NSH	12	0	1.16
2	CHI	15	1	1.30
2	NSH	19	3	1.60
3	CHI	12	0	0.85
3	NSH	13	1	1.15
4	CHI	1	0	0.08
4	NSH	2	0	0.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 3 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1