Columbus Blue Jackets at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2026-03-22 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 1 - 0 Columbus Blue Jackets

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NYI: 52.3%

CBJ: 47.7%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.88

CBJ: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 49%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

Stat	NYI	CBJ
Season SV%	0.910	0.909
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.55	2.62

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	26	26	0	100.0%	2.15	1	2.15
CBJ	Jet Greaves	22	21	1	95.5%	2.18	0	1.18

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • NYI at home vs CBJ: 8-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	NYI 1 - 0 CBJ	NYI	NYI
2026-02-28	CBJ 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	CBJ
2025-12-28	CBJ 4 - 2 NYI	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-02	NYI 3 - 2 CBJ	NYI	NYI
2025-04-17	CBJ 6 - 1 NYI	CBJ	NYI

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	12	0	0.86
1	CBJ	9	0	0.37
2	NYI	15	0	0.76
2	CBJ	7	0	0.26
3	NYI	10	0	0.56
3	CBJ	17	1	1.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown