Tampa Bay Lightning at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2026-03-22 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 6:00 PM MDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 65.0%
TBL: 35.0%
Expected Goals
CGY: 3.13
TBL: 2.85
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 28-7-3 | 0.920 SV% | 2.11 GAA
| Stat | CGY | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.877 | 0.921 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.250 | 0.969 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CGY at home vs TBL: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-26 | TBL 5 - 1 CGY | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-02-27 | TBL 3 - 0 CGY | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-12-12 | CGY 3 - 8 TBL | TBL | CGY |
| 2024-03-07 | TBL 3 - 6 CGY | CGY | TBL |
| 2023-12-16 | CGY 4 - 2 TBL | CGY | CGY |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-03-22 at 6:00 PM MDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.