Buffalo Sabres at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2026-03-22 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 6 - 5 Buffalo Sabres (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

ANA: 58.8%

BUF: 41.2%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.20

BUF: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

ANA

Ville Husso - 5-3-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.25 GAA

BUF

Alex Lyon - 10-6-3 | 0.906 SV% | 2.82 GAA

Stat	ANA	BUF
Season SV%	0.884	0.906
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.25	2.82

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Ville Husso	29	24	5	82.8%	3.18	1	-1.82
BUF	Alex Lyon	33	27	6	81.8%	4.32	1	-1.68

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs BUF: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	ANA 6 - 5 BUF	ANA	ANA
2026-01-10	BUF 5 - 3 ANA	BUF	BUF
2025-02-25	BUF 3 - 2 ANA	BUF	BUF
2024-11-22	ANA 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2024-02-19	BUF 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	BUF

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	21	0	1.16
1	BUF	18	0	0.82
2	ANA	7	0	0.70
2	BUF	16	0	0.98
3	ANA	23	1	2.13
3	BUF	18	1	1.39
4	ANA	2	0	0.33
4	BUF	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 6 - 5 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0