Ottawa Senators at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2026-03-23 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 1 - 2 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

NYR: 27.8%

OTT: 72.2%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.39

OTT: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NYR at home vs OTT: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-23	NYR 1 - 2 OTT	OTT	OTT
2026-01-14	NYR 4 - 8 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-12-04	OTT 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	OTT
2025-03-08	OTT 4 - 3 NYR	OTT	OTT
2025-01-21	NYR 5 - 0 OTT	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	NYR	6	0.43
1	OTT	15	0.69
2	NYR	7	0.29
2	OTT	18	1.31
3	NYR	12	0.63
3	OTT	9	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 72.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 1 - 2 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 2.4 - 3.2