Carolina Hurricanes at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2026-03-24 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 5 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 43.4%
CAR: 56.6%
Expected Goals
MTL: 2.82
CAR: 2.85
Total Goals
Median: 4.7
Over 5.5: 39%
Over 6.5: 28%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
| Stat | MTL | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.922 | 0.727 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • MTL at home vs CAR: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | CAR 1 - 3 MTL | MTL | CAR |
| 2026-03-24 | MTL 5 - 2 CAR | MTL | CAR |
| 2026-01-01 | CAR 5 - 7 MTL | MTL | CAR |
| 2025-04-16 | MTL 4 - 2 CAR | MTL | CAR |
| 2025-03-28 | CAR 4 - 1 MTL | CAR | CAR |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 5 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.8 - 2.9
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.