Carolina Hurricanes at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2026-03-24 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 5 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

MTL: 50.2%

CAR: 49.8%

Expected Goals

MTL: 2.79

CAR: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.9

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 53%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • MTL at home vs CAR: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-29	CAR 6 - 1 MTL	CAR	CAR
2026-05-27	MTL 0 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-25	MTL 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-23	CAR 3 - 2 MTL	CAR	CAR
2026-05-21	CAR 2 - 6 MTL	MTL	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	9	0	0.34
1	CAR	21	1	1.12
2	MTL	15	2	1.62
2	CAR	16	0	0.71
3	MTL	8	5	2.60
3	CAR	26	1	1.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 5 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.8 - 3.0