Ottawa Senators at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2026-03-24 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 46.1%
OTT: 53.9%
Expected Goals
DET: 2.83
OTT: 2.94
Total Goals
Median: 4.7
Over 5.5: 38%
Over 6.5: 26%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | DET | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.921 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.907 | 0.927 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DET at home vs OTT: 2-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | DET 2 - 3 OTT | OTT | OTT |
| 2026-02-26 | OTT 1 - 2 DET | DET | OTT |
| 2026-01-18 | DET 4 - 3 OTT | DET | OTT |
| 2026-01-05 | OTT 3 - 5 DET | DET | OTT |
| 2025-03-27 | DET 3 - 4 OTT | OTT | DET |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 2.8 - 2.9
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