Seattle Kraken at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2026-03-24 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 5 - 4 Seattle Kraken (SO)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

FLA: 59.8%

SEA: 40.2%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.31

SEA: 3.30

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 49%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Stat	FLA	SEA
Season SV%	0.888	0.903
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.80	2.77

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	29	25	4	86.2%	3.41	3	-0.59
SEA	Joey Daccord	28	23	5	82.1%	4.17	4	-0.83

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • FLA at home vs SEA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	FLA 5 - 4 SEA	FLA	FLA
2026-03-15	SEA 6 - 2 FLA	SEA	FLA
2025-02-22	FLA 1 - 2 SEA	SEA	FLA
2024-12-10	SEA 1 - 2 FLA	FLA	SEA
2023-12-12	SEA 4 - 0 FLA	SEA	SEA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	12	0	0.80
1	SEA	6	0	0.51
2	FLA	10	2	0.82
2	SEA	13	0	0.60
3	FLA	10	1	1.10
3	SEA	18	3	1.69
4	FLA	6	0	0.54
4	SEA	3	0	0.37
5	FLA	3	1	0.91
5	SEA	3	0	0.24

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 5 - 4 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.3 - 3.3