Columbus Blue Jackets at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2026-03-24 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

PHI: 53.9%

CBJ: 46.1%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.01

CBJ: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

PHI

Dan Vladar - 14-6-3 | 0.910 SV% | 2.40 GAA

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

Stat	PHI	CBJ
Season SV%	0.910	0.909
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.40	2.62

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	Dan Vladar	19	16	3	84.2%	1.71	0	-1.29
CBJ	Jet Greaves	26	24	2	92.3%	2.53	1	0.53

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • PHI at home vs CBJ: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	PHI 2 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	PHI
2026-03-14	PHI 1 - 2 CBJ	CBJ	PHI
2026-01-28	CBJ 5 - 3 PHI	CBJ	CBJ
2025-04-15	PHI 0 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	PHI
2025-01-14	CBJ 3 - 2 PHI	CBJ	CBJ

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	18	1	0.99
1	CBJ	6	0	0.36
2	PHI	10	0	0.58
2	CBJ	16	0	0.74
3	PHI	16	0	0.95
3	CBJ	12	0	0.61

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown