Colorado Avalanche at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2026-03-24 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 6 Colorado Avalanche
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 47.4%
COL: 52.6%
Expected Goals
PIT: 2.92
COL: 2.93
Total Goals
Median: 5.2
Over 5.5: 44%
Over 6.5: 30%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 31-6-6 | 0.921 SV% | 2.02 GAA
| Stat | PIT | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.886 | 0.968 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.692 | 0.865 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PIT at home vs COL: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | PIT 2 - 6 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-03-16 | COL 2 - 7 PIT | PIT | COL |
| 2025-03-04 | COL 4 - 1 PIT | COL | COL |
| 2024-12-10 | PIT 2 - 6 COL | COL | COL |
| 2024-03-24 | COL 5 - 4 PIT | COL | COL |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 6 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 2.9 - 2.9
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.