Colorado Avalanche at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2026-03-24 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 6 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

PIT: 45.0%

COL: 55.0%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.30

COL: 3.31

Total Goals

Median: 6.9

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 53%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PIT at home vs COL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	PIT 2 - 6 COL	COL	COL
2026-03-16	COL 2 - 7 PIT	PIT	COL
2025-03-04	COL 4 - 1 PIT	COL	COL
2024-12-10	PIT 2 - 6 COL	COL	COL
2024-03-24	COL 5 - 4 PIT	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	17	1	0.99
1	COL	21	1	1.10
2	PIT	13	0	0.84
2	COL	7	0	0.32
3	PIT	17	1	1.76
3	COL	12	1	1.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 6 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.3 - 3.3