Minnesota Wild at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions
2026-03-24 • Benchmark International Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild @ 7:30 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 53.2%
MIN: 46.8%
Expected Goals
TBL: 3.17
MIN: 2.03
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 45%
Over 6.5: 28%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 28-7-3 | 0.920 SV% | 2.11 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
| Stat | TBL | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.921 | 0.895 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • TBL at home vs MIN: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-01 | MIN 5 - 3 TBL | MIN | MIN |
| 2024-10-24 | TBL 2 - 4 MIN | MIN | TBL |
| 2024-01-18 | TBL 7 - 3 MIN | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-01-04 | MIN 1 - 4 TBL | TBL | MIN |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-03-24 at 7:30 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.