Minnesota Wild at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions

2026-03-24 • Benchmark International Arena

Tampa Bay Lightning 6 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

TBL: 53.6%

MIN: 46.4%

Expected Goals

TBL: 2.85

MIN: 2.70

Total Goals

Median: 4.4

Over 5.5: 34%

Over 6.5: 24%

TBL

Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • TBL at home vs MIN: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	TBL 6 - 3 MIN	TBL	TBL
2026-03-03	MIN 5 - 1 TBL	MIN	TBL
2024-11-01	MIN 5 - 3 TBL	MIN	MIN
2024-10-24	TBL 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	TBL
2024-01-18	TBL 7 - 3 MIN	TBL	TBL

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	02:28	MIN	Goal
1	18:49	MIN	Goal
2	05:45	MIN	Goal
2	09:51	MIN	Goal
2	12:27	MIN	Goal
2	15:19	TBL	Goal
3	17:07	TBL	Goal
3	18:42	TBL	Goal
3	19:36	TBL	Goal

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Tampa Bay Lightning 6 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 2.8 - 2.7