Vegas Golden Knights at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2026-03-24 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 4 - 1 Vegas Golden Knights
🚨 Upset Win (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 38.0%
VGK: 62.0%
Expected Goals
WPG: 2.66
VGK: 3.25
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | WPG | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.867 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.885 | — |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • WPG at home vs VGK: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | VGK 6 - 2 WPG | VGK | VGK |
| 2026-03-24 | WPG 4 - 1 VGK | WPG | VGK |
| 2026-01-06 | WPG 3 - 4 VGK | VGK | WPG |
| 2025-04-03 | VGK 0 - 4 WPG | WPG | VGK |
| 2024-12-12 | WPG 2 - 3 VGK | VGK | VGK |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 4 - 1 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 2.7 - 3.3
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