Edmonton Oilers at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2026-03-24 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 2 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

UTA: 41.4%

EDM: 58.6%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.01

EDM: 3.36

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • UTA at home vs EDM: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	UTA 6 - 5 EDM	UTA	EDM
2026-03-24	UTA 2 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-28	EDM 6 - 3 UTA	EDM	EDM
2025-03-18	EDM 7 - 1 UTA	EDM	EDM
2024-12-31	EDM 4 - 1 UTA	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	8	0	0.26
1	EDM	11	0	0.54
2	UTA	12	2	0.93
2	EDM	17	0	1.21
3	UTA	13	0	0.61
3	EDM	14	1	1.50

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 2 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.4