Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2026-03-24 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 3 - 2 Los Angeles Kings (SO)

🚨 Upset Win (59% underdog)

Win Probability

CGY: 41.2%

LAK: 58.8%

Expected Goals

CGY: 2.92

LAK: 3.35

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • CGY at home vs LAK: 6-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	CGY 3 - 1 LAK	CGY	CGY
2026-03-24	CGY 3 - 2 LAK	CGY	LAK
2026-02-28	LAK 2 - 0 CGY	LAK	LAK
2025-12-13	LAK 1 - 2 CGY	CGY	LAK
2025-04-17	LAK 1 - 5 CGY	CGY	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	8	1	0.57
1	LAK	14	0	0.82
2	CGY	8	0	0.39
2	LAK	13	0	0.61
3	CGY	15	0	0.89
3	LAK	9	1	0.52
4	CGY	5	0	0.56
4	LAK	3	0	0.31
5	CGY	4	2	2.02
5	LAK	4	1	0.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 3 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 2.9 - 3.4