Boston Bruins at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2026-03-25 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 3 - 4 Boston Bruins (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (67% underdog)

Win Probability

BUF: 67.3%

BOS: 32.7%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.44

BOS: 2.64

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 39%

BUF

Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • BUF at home vs BOS: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-03			BUF
2026-05-01	BOS 1 - 4 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-04-28	BUF 1 - 2 BOS	BOS	BUF
2026-04-26	BOS 1 - 6 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-04-23	BOS 1 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 67.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 3 - 4 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.4 - 2.6