Seattle Kraken at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions

2026-03-26 • Benchmark International Arena

Tampa Bay Lightning 3 - 4 Seattle Kraken (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)

Win Probability

TBL: 64.5%

SEA: 35.5%

Expected Goals

TBL: 3.82

SEA: 2.16

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 50%

Over 6.5: 38%

TBL

Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA

SEA

Joey Daccord - 20-20-6 | 0.896 SV% | 3.03 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • TBL at home vs SEA: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-26	TBL 3 - 4 SEA	SEA	TBL
2026-03-17	SEA 2 - 6 TBL	TBL	TBL
2025-02-23	TBL 4 - 1 SEA	TBL	TBL
2024-12-14	SEA 1 - 5 TBL	TBL	TBL
2023-12-09	SEA 3 - 4 TBL	TBL	SEA

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 64.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Tampa Bay Lightning 3 - 4 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.8 - 2.2