San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2026-03-26 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 2 - 1 San Jose Sharks (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

STL: 48.0%

SJS: 52.0%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.48

SJS: 2.51

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

SJS

Yaroslav Askarov - 15-10-1 | 0.896 SV% | 3.36 GAA

Stat	STL	SJS
Season SV%	0.901	0.896
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.87	3.36

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Joel Hofer	25	24	1	96.0%	2.70	1	1.70
SJS	Yaroslav Askarov	23	21	2	91.3%	2.30	1	0.30

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • STL at home vs SJS: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-30	SJS 5 - 4 STL	SJS	SJS
2026-03-26	STL 2 - 1 SJS	STL	SJS
2026-03-06	SJS 2 - 3 STL	STL	SJS
2024-12-12	STL 3 - 4 SJS	SJS	STL
2024-11-21	STL 3 - 2 SJS	STL	STL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	10	0	0.48
1	SJS	12	0	0.56
2	STL	13	1	1.06
2	SJS	7	0	0.50
3	STL	8	0	0.36
3	SJS	15	1	1.34
4	STL	3	0	0.41
4	SJS	3	0	0.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 2 - 1 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.5 - 2.5