Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2026-03-26 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

WPG: 40.7%

COL: 59.3%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.00

COL: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

COL

Mackenzie Blackwood - 13-1-1 | 0.924 SV% | 2.07 GAA

Stat	WPG	COL
Season SV%	0.907	0.924
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.51	2.07

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	35	32	3	91.4%	4.07	2	1.07
COL	Mackenzie Blackwood	24	22	2	91.7%	2.16	0	0.16

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • WPG at home vs COL: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	COL 2 - 4 WPG	WPG	COL
2026-03-26	WPG 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-03-14	WPG 3 - 1 COL	WPG	COL
2025-12-19	COL 3 - 2 WPG	COL	COL
2025-01-22	COL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	COL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	16	0	0.84
1	COL	12	1	1.26
2	WPG	14	0	0.62
2	COL	16	0	1.29
3	WPG	10	0	0.69
3	COL	18	1	1.51

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown