Washington Capitals at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2026-03-26 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 4 - 7 Washington Capitals
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 59.9%
WSH: 40.1%
Expected Goals
UTA: 3.33
WSH: 3.14
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 74%
Over 6.5: 58%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.896 SV% | 2.75 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | UTA | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.881 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.923 | 0.889 |
| GAA | 2.68 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 25% • UTA at home vs WSH: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | UTA 4 - 7 WSH | WSH | UTA |
| 2026-03-03 | WSH 2 - 3 UTA | UTA | WSH |
| 2025-02-09 | WSH 4 - 5 UTA | UTA | WSH |
| 2024-11-18 | UTA 2 - 6 WSH | WSH | WSH |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 4 - 7 Washington Capitals
Expected: 3.3 - 3.1
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