Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2026-03-26 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 2 - 3 Anaheim Ducks (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CGY: 50.8%

ANA: 49.2%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.11

ANA: 3.42

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CGY

Devin Cooley - 4-4-2 | 0.914 SV% | 2.40 GAA

ANA

Ville Husso - 5-3-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.25 GAA

Stat	CGY	ANA
Season SV%	0.914	0.884
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.40	3.25

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	Devin Cooley	33	30	3	90.9%	2.87	0	-0.13
ANA	Ville Husso	25	23	2	92.0%	2.29	2	0.29

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • CGY at home vs ANA: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	ANA 3 - 5 CGY	CGY	ANA
2026-03-26	CGY 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	CGY
2026-03-01	ANA 3 - 2 CGY	ANA	ANA
2026-01-25	CGY 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-04-09	ANA 4 - 3 CGY	ANA	CGY

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	11	0	0.35
1	ANA	12	0	0.51
2	CGY	13	1	1.09
2	ANA	15	0	0.68
3	CGY	13	1	0.70
3	ANA	20	0	1.26
4	CGY	2	0	0.15
4	ANA	4	0	0.43

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 2 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.1 - 3.4