Chicago Blackhawks at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2026-03-27 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 6 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NYR: 71.7%

CHI: 28.3%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.50

CHI: 2.72

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NYR

Dylan Garand - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

Stat	NYR	CHI
Season SV%	0.000	0.873
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	0.00	4.02

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Dylan Garand	28	27	1	96.4%	2.42	1	1.42
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	39	33	6	84.6%	3.82	3	-2.18

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYR at home vs CHI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-27	NYR 6 - 1 CHI	NYR	NYR
2025-12-10	CHI 3 - 0 NYR	CHI	NYR
2025-01-05	CHI 2 - 6 NYR	NYR	CHI
2024-12-09	NYR 1 - 2 CHI	CHI	NYR
2024-02-09	CHI 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	22	2	1.47
1	CHI	15	1	1.32
2	NYR	20	1	1.28
2	CHI	6	0	0.16
3	NYR	17	0	1.08
3	CHI	18	0	0.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown