Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2026-03-28 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

EDM: 66.2%

ANA: 33.8%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.84

ANA: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 76% • EDM at home vs ANA: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-30	ANA 5 - 2 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-28	EDM 4 - 1 ANA	EDM	EDM
2026-04-26	ANA 4 - 3 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-24	ANA 7 - 4 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-22	EDM 4 - 6 ANA	ANA	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	17	1	1.22
1	ANA	14	0	0.70
2	EDM	18	0	1.55
2	ANA	12	1	1.16
3	EDM	12	1	1.91
3	ANA	22	1	1.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.8 - 2.8