Minnesota Wild at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2026-03-28 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 6 - 3 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 48.1%
MIN: 51.9%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.56
MIN: 3.08
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 50%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BOS at home vs MIN: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | BOS 6 - 3 MIN | BOS | MIN |
| 2025-12-14 | MIN 6 - 2 BOS | MIN | BOS |
| 2025-03-02 | MIN 1 - 0 BOS | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-02-04 | BOS 3 - 0 MIN | BOS | BOS |
| 2023-12-23 | MIN 3 - 2 BOS | MIN | MIN |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOS | 11 | 0 | 0.64 |
| 1 | MIN | 17 | 0 | 0.47 |
| 2 | BOS | 22 | 0 | 1.14 |
| 2 | MIN | 23 | 1 | 1.08 |
| 3 | BOS | 20 | 2 | 2.36 |
| 3 | MIN | 21 | 2 | 1.81 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 6 - 3 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.6 - 3.1
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